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王垣鑫:美聯儲激進預期升溫,黃金下跌測試五月支撐

昨日金價在早間亞盤開盤後延續了自1810一線開始的階段性反彈走勢,不過價格在最高反彈至1832附近位置後歐盤時段出現承壓再度大幅度下滑,今日淩晨時段將近期低點進一步刷新至1805一線附近,不過後市跌勢暫時放緩目前再度出現反彈整體交投於1815一線附近。

王垣鑫:美聯儲激進預期升溫,黃金下跌測試五月支撐

晚間將公佈美聯儲利率決議

在北京時間的6月16日02:00,美聯儲將公佈利率決議、政策聲明及經濟預期。隨著當前美國面臨40年來最嚴重通脹局面,市場對美聯儲激進加息的預期升溫。摩根大通和富國銀行等多家主要銀行和投行普遍預計,美聯儲或將宣佈加息75個基點,以遏制通脹再度飆升。這也可能是美聯儲自1994年以來最大加息幅度。

美元指數突破20年高點

美元兌一籃子貨幣週二創20年新高,交易員為美聯儲本周激進加息以遏制通脹做準備。本周,對美聯儲將以較預期更大幅度加息的預期不斷升溫令投資者如坐針氈,導致標普500指數確認處於熊市區域,並加劇了對經濟前景的擔憂。美元指數週二最高觸及105.66,為2002年12月以來最高,收報105.47,漲幅約0.24%。不過,週三亞市盤初,美元指數回吐了週二的全部漲幅,目前交投於105.21附近,因為臨近利率決議,部分多頭獲利了結離場。

王垣鑫:美聯儲激進預期升溫,黃金下跌測試五月支撐

昨天金價小幅延續回落走勢日線錄得較大實體的陰線K線形態,目前金價已經跌破前段時間的寬幅震盪區間底部支撐1840一線的位置,日線MA5均線開始向下拐頭,MACD指標雙線也在0軸下方發出死叉變盤信號,暗示短時間內趨勢開始向下打開,建議可以保持逢高沽空的看盤思路,上方重點留意日線MA5均線的壓力效果。


本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬

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