熊傲君：黃金暫緩跌幅，本周或依然保持震盪為主
關鍵字：現貨黃金走勢，黃金價格震盪
導語：由於市場的避險情緒降溫，尤其是疫苗不斷傳來好消息，這使得金價此前一度迎來了非常快速的回落，直至上周五才有一些反彈的跡象。雖然短線走弱，但更多還是一些突發的利好為主，考慮到大背景依然提供支撐的情況下，回落的幅度和空間也相對有限，所以不排除本周會保持震盪修正的局面為主。
全球疫情情況令人震驚
自三月份疫情大規模爆發以來，時間已經過去了整整九個月，可疫情卻沒有在國外得到緩解，雖然此前一度有些降溫的跡象，但隨著二次疫情的爆發，美國的新增數據居然去到了令人驚訝的20萬，這是何等恐怖的局面。雖然疫苗會在明年發揮作用，但疫情要完全控制住還有很長的一段路要走，更可況目前低迷不已的經濟環境。
刺激計畫將是多頭希望
短期金價的回落，更多還是因為市場避險情緒的小幅退散，這是很正常的，畢竟當初金價也是受到了疫情的避險刺激，而更加穩固和有決定性作用的經濟環境，卻沒有發生改變，所以也不用太快下定論。最為關鍵的是，未來的刺激計畫始終會落實，所以多頭其實還有很大的希望。
黃金周線圖形態趨向調整
由於此前收出一根大陰線，形成了偏弱的形態信號，加上目前價格已經回到了短期均線組的下方，所以走勢上會有些回調的信號，不過左方是持續的上行趨勢，所以回調也是合理的走勢，現階段MACD指標死叉繼續開口，離調整到位還有一小段距離，未來兩至三周很大概率會保持相對震盪甚至偏弱的呈現，具體幅度要配合當時的運行節奏而定。
黃金價格的調整是技術面的需求，也是基本面的正常反映，今年已經大漲至歷史新高，年尾收官之前回落，是非常合理的現象，而基本面也不可能一直持續利好，正所謂盛極就會而衰。相反，市場不斷出現博弈，金價經過調整之後，可能才會更穩定的上行空間。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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