王垣鑫：初請失業金人數五周首升，留意黃金弱勢反彈
關鍵字：走勢分析、現貨黃金
本周現貨黃金價格在週一劇烈震盪後，上方1900整數關口持續對金價造成壓力，價格自週二開始逐步走弱。 1880一線作為此前大級別區間震盪的底部，目前已經被價格突破，在測試日線級別前低1850一線位置支撐效果後，短時間內金價跌勢有所放緩，並出現一定幅度反彈。
公共衛生事件持續造成影響
美國公佈截至11月14日當周初請失業金人數，資料出現近五周來的首次上升。美國首次申領失業救濟人數的上升，成為美國消費持續反彈的又一個障礙，隨著美國新冠感染人數增多，許多州在加強限制力度，疾病控制與預防中心呼籲美國人不要因感恩節出行。同時，美國重新實行嚴格防疫限制措施，令市場產生能源需求疲軟的擔憂。
此外，疫苗可能將於下月獲得美國和歐洲的緊急授權。據之前的最終試驗結果顯示，該疫苗的有效性高達95%，而且不會出現嚴重的副作用，一度令市場避險情況大幅降溫。不過受到全景經濟復蘇緩慢的影響，市場預期美聯儲將出臺更多的貨幣刺激政策，增加美元後市走弱的可能。
日內或有機會延續反彈
金價在跌破1880重要支撐後，昨天開盤後進一步走弱，價格直接回落測試下方大級別前低位置1850附近，在兩度測試後今日淩晨出現一定幅度反彈。由於下破1880一線後，第一個大級別需要回踩的目標1850已經基本完成，且日線MA5壓力均線仍在1880下方。加上現階段價格已經突破四小時級別下行主要依據，MA5及MA10壓力均線，MACD指標有金叉跡象。雖然短時間內價格仍保持弱勢，但不排除日內進一步往日線MA5，也就是1880一線附近反彈的可能，需留意四小時級別MA5均線的支撐效果。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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