王垣鑫：美國經濟衰退失業率激增，現貨黃金震盪靜候非農
來到周中，現貨黃金整體表現並未有太大變化，雖上周後半段時間金價反彈勢頭較為迅猛，但在重回1700美元/盎司整數關口上方後，多頭已經明顯放緩，並且本周價格多次承壓於1715美元/盎司下方，MACD指標雙線仍處於死叉過程當中，若說新一輪反彈已經開始，恐怕還為時尚早，短時間內金價主要圍繞1700美元/盎司整數關口進行爭奪，下方支撐位於1690美元/盎司一線附近。
克拉裏看悲美國經濟
美聯儲副主席克拉裏在接受採訪時，對美國經濟表示悲觀態度，稱美國正經曆最嚴峻的經濟活動萎縮以及失業率的激增，正處於經濟衰退之中。此外，美國的失業率恐怕會變得非常高，失業率將飆升到1940年以來的最高水準，勞動力市場的復蘇需要時間。
美國目前正使用所有工具、利率、資產負債表、前瞻性指引以及借貸工具來支撐經濟克拉裏預計美國經濟可能在今年下半年開始復蘇。他認為確保經濟盡可能地穩健反彈非常重要，一旦企業重啟，人們回到經濟崗位，經濟就會開始反彈，但這需要一段時間。
周線均線艱難支撐金價
從周線級別來看，目前ma5支撐均線上移至價格下方，配合macd指標和kdj指標的金叉，多方趨勢無疑占優，但從盤面上看，本周金價多次承壓於1710-1715區間，雖然目前仍處於周線支撐均線上方，但途中多次虛破1700整數關口，最低一度觸碰1690美元/盎司一線位置，後市周線支撐均線能否繼續生效仍是未知數，鑒於非農周歷史行情當中以震盪為主的例子並不少，建議暫時先放棄長線思路，繼續關注1690-1715區間，待後市突破後再做打算。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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