王垣鑫：全球疫情趨於平穩，黃金漲勢有所放緩
現貨黃金上周1723美元/盎司一線開盤後震盪走低，僅頭兩天跌幅已達32美元，雖週四價格一度迅速反彈，並近乎收復周內失地，但價格未能成功站穩，轉而進一步擴大跌幅，不過下方1660美元/盎司一線位置支撐效果良好，金價於收盤前成功回到1700整數關口。
本周將迎來美國非農數據
本周澳洲聯儲和英國央行將先後召開議息會議，多位美聯儲官員也將相繼發表公開講話，投資者還需關注疫情在全球的發展以及各國的舉措。市場將迎來多國貿易帳，以及中國外儲和社融等重磅數據，還有每月一度的美國非農就業報告，目前市場預計數據表現糟糕程度，將是史無前例。
美國許多商店和工廠因控制新型冠狀病毒疫情的嚴格措施而關閉，美國3月非農就業崗位減少70.1萬，結束了為期113個月的史上持續時間最長的就業增長，種種跡象證實美國經濟已經陷入衰退。3月失業率飆升0.9個百分點，達到4.4%，這是自1975年1月以來最大的月度變化。另外，自3月21日以來，累計初請失業金人數增至3030萬，相當於在短短一個多月的時間裏，幾乎每五名工人中就有一人失去工作。
風險偏好回暖黃金漲勢放緩
過去一周全球新冠疫情趨於平穩，一些國家著手制定解除封鎖、重啟經濟的計畫，致使市場避險情緒有所回落，受此影響現貨黃金漲勢開始放緩，整周金價基本保持震盪回落走勢，但需注意金價上周在短暫虛破ma5支撐均線後迅速回升，證實目前周線級別ma5均線支撐仍生效。
本周金價小幅低開於5周線附近，隨後震盪走高，周線ma5支撐均線，即1695-1700區間成為本周多空雙方主要爭奪區間，目前周線均線簇仍呈多頭排列，若本周能站穩1700整數關口，不排除後市進一步走高可能。另外，下方重點留意1660美元/盎司一線，短時間內跌破將形成雙頂形態，後市有機會重返1580-1600區間。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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