王垣鑫：中美貿易局勢緩和
近日中美貿易局勢持續發展，在上週四到週五的時間裡，根據中國主席習近平和美國總統特朗普的指示，國務院副總理劉鶴率領的中方代表團與包括財政部長姆努欽、商務部長羅斯和貿易代表萊特希澤等成員組成的美方代表團就貿易問題進行了長達兩天時間的協商，並於上週六也就是2018年5月19日發表聯合聲明。
大田環球貴金屬留意到根據磋商結果，雙方同意將採取有效措施實質性減少美對華貨物貿易逆差。為滿足中國人民不斷增長的消費需求和促進高品質經濟發展，中方將大量增加自美購買商品和服務。這也有助於美國經濟增長和就業。未來將有意義地增加美國農產品和能源出口，為此美方將派團赴華討論具體事項。
另一方面大田環球貴金屬也留意到雙方亦就擴大製造業產品和服務貿易進行了討論，就創造有利條件增加上述領域的貿易達成共識；雙方高度重視智慧財產權保護，同意加強合作，中方將推進包括《專利法》在內的相關法律法規修訂工作；雙方同意鼓勵雙向投資，將努力創造公平競爭營商環境。最後雙方同意繼續就此保持高層溝通，積極尋求解決各自關注的經貿問題。
大田環球貴金屬分析師王垣鑫認為，隨著中美貿易局勢的緩和，之前由此引起的市場避險情緒將進一步降溫，或將對黃金可能出現的反彈造成不利影響，另外上周美國10年期國債收益率終於有效漲破3%，美元指數也受此影響走出了今年的新高點，正往上年12月12日的反彈高點不斷進發。
大田環球貴金屬分析師王垣鑫提醒鑒於短期內美元指數及美債的不斷走高，或將加速對沖基金削減美元空倉，進而加劇空頭回補的情況，從而對黃金造成進一步的打壓，後市恐有直指1250美元/盎司一線的可能。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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