熊傲君:金價修正但未站穩,關註1326-1327支撐
2018.04.25黃金策略
昨日回顧:昨日金價日內整體幅度其實不大,早間小幅下探後出現反彈,最低再次觸及近日低點1322,隨後開始反彈回1327壹線,歐盤強弱不明朗,但至少沒有走弱,因此美盤走勢以震蕩反彈修正為主,最終收回至1332附近,可惜沒有成功站穩在1330上方,目前再次回到1328附近的位置,所以此處是日內關鍵的支撐位,周壹走弱,周二震蕩修正,周三將顯得尤為關鍵,今日早盤波動不大,暫時小幅回調了2美元,歐盤依舊是關鍵。
消息面:昨天的美國數據重要性壹般,也基本符合預期,所以對行情影響有限,隨著美國國債收益率漲勢衰退,以及美國總統對於要重啟對伊朗核協議的談判,市場的避險情緒由此升溫。美元指數結束了連續5個交易日的上漲,從兩個月高位小幅回落,提振金價有所回升。不過市場整體政治已經降溫,消息上暫難以提供太大的利多條件。
今日展望:昨日美盤的觀點基本正確,由於歐盤無強弱,所以美盤不看好破低,中段開始看漲反彈修正,結果也是如出壹轍,只是未能最理想的到達1335再做空,在4小時MA20下移的情況下,1333壹線便承壓止漲,最終收在1330附近,不過早間卻再次跌穿,意味著仍未站穩,總體仍是偏弱,昨日暫時表現還是修正為主,所以今日的走勢將尤為關鍵,到底是反彈延續還是修正過後走二次下跌,就需要等待今日的歐盤能夠給出答案,現階段建議在歐盤前後重點留意1327壹線支撐,若站穩或直接走高可跟進多單,否則今明兩天還有回撤。
從現貨黃金4小時圖看:昨日雖金價表現為修正反彈,但可惜還是缺乏延續力度,所以現階段彈反轉見底還是為時尚早,只能繼續要震蕩思路對待,目前區間為1322-1332,均線組昨晚出現拐頭,但目前起到的支撐似乎還是有限,可能是由於MA20的下壓,MACD指標也出現了金叉,但開口狀況目前壹般,加上整體仍處於0軸下方,所以仍需耐心等待歐盤的確認。
操作建議: 1300-1320長線多單繼續耐心持有,今年目標依舊是1400上方,加息已過,繼續輕倉持有即可。短線今天建議關註1326-1327支撐,大區間1322-1332,等待歐盤強弱,上下方壹旦破位恐有8美元以上空間。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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