熊傲君：回歸大震蕩，黃金短線看歐盤
2018.04.24黃金策略
昨日回顧：昨日金價小幅下行，延續周五的弱勢，開盤跳空後迅速回補，隨後歐盤開始走弱，再次奠定美盤的運行大概，歐盤下破1330後，美盤繼而走弱最低壹度觸及至1322壹線附近，相當接近前期關鍵支持1318-1320重點支持區域，止跌後小幅反彈，目前回歸至1325壹線徘徊，日內的走勢應該還是震蕩為主，歐盤走勢仍是主旋律。
消息面：昨天關鍵數據不多，經歷上周的地緣情緒後，本周相對安靜壹些，重要數據不多，周四有歐央行的利率決議以及周五的GDP才是重點。最近美元不斷走高，非美貨幣集體低迷，美元指數仍舊保持強勢上漲的態勢，在日線收出連續五連陽後，今日盤中更是壹舉沖過91的整數關口，刷新了近14周以來的高點。僅用短短6個交易日，美指的走勢完成了從頹勢到 “壹枝獨秀”的逆轉。
今日展望：由於目前依舊沒有明顯趨勢的出現，雖然近期偏弱，但仍是短期的表現，方向仍未破位，我們中長線堅守，只是讓人失望的是這次還是未能施展多頭的威力，本月的預期恐已難以達成，但是依舊看好，短線操作難度進壹步加大，但只要我們看清歐盤走勢，短線美盤仍是有機會的，目前價格在1326附近，歐盤仍以昨日低點視為下跌延續後，跌破則為走弱，上方破位1329可視為走強，那麽晚間是有望再次震蕩至1335壹線附近，若走弱就恐怕會下跌至1310區域，所以需重點留意。
從現貨黃金4小時圖看：目前金價進壹步下移平臺，此處也是之前金價再次沖高的支撐，再次回落此處將變得非常關鍵，若能守穩上攻，多頭依舊希望較大，不過這是對於後期的判斷，短線關註好日內節奏強弱，現階段均線組向下施壓，MACD指標在0軸下方運行，總體偏弱，不過短期均線MA5有拐頭傾向，短線可能有壹定反彈需要，當然最好獲得了歐盤的支撐，昨日我們看先跌後漲，如果是這樣，我們今天可能就可以看先漲後跌。
操作建議： 1300-1320長線多單繼續耐心持有，今年目標依舊是1400上方，
加息已過，繼續輕倉持有即可。短線今天建議關註1322-1329，破位前區間操作，若歐盤出現突破，美盤直接順勢跟進至少6美元以上。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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