熊傲君：中東局勢緩和，市場反應不大
2018.04.17黃金策略
昨日回顧：上周金價大起大落後，周壹整體走勢較為和緩，小幅上升但幅度有限，壹方面受周末轟炸敘利亞影響後有所降溫，另壹方面市場正在消化上周的走勢。早間開盤壹度上行至1348附近，隨後受壓回落至1341附近，但是歐美盤站穩後保持震蕩上行，後市壹度沖高至1350上方，不過未能站穩，最終仍收在1347附近，現階段早盤正測試1345壹線支撐，昨日波動實際不大，數據影響力也較為壹般，恐怕周二以及周三的延續走勢更為關鍵。
消息面：昨晚公布的零售銷售數據雖好於預期，但影響有限，金價甚至在短期內站穩向上，近段時間數據的影響都較為有限，市場並未受到上周末美國對敘利亞展開軍事打擊影響，避險情緒並未顯著升高。主要由於美國並未流露進壹步對敘利亞進行打擊的跡象，後續局勢或趨向和緩，使得不確定性風險基本釋放，金價表現平淡，而美股則展開反彈。晚間還需繼續留意晚間美國經濟數據的表現和美聯儲官員的講話。
今日展望：昨晚金價雖小幅走高，但未能有效破位1350反壓，所以日間此處仍是重壓，沖高後的回落位置在1345附近，所以1345-1350區間將會日內的多空判斷區域，若能歐盤走強任意壹方，那麽日內必有偏袒，當然下破1345，下方空間恐怕也最多是1338-1340，而上方壹旦破位，則是1358-1360，由此可見目前的局勢多頭是要稍微占優的，但可惜的是延續力度不大，所以需要等待，否則仍有掃單風險，歐盤重點關註1345支撐，若能站穩不妨激進壹些介入多單，若想穩健，則等待歐盤破位1350後的回踩介入多單，屆時可以1345下方作為止損保護。
從現貨黃金1小時圖看：金價目前溫和反彈，整體關註下方趨勢線支撐為主，若跌破1345，其實也不代表下行空間多大，只是節奏上要調整，換言之1340上方都是看漲，只是若站穩1345，走強力度會較大，重點還是在於歐盤的強弱，目前先關註1345，若亞盤跌破不用急於操作，屆時會形成亞盤低點參考，所以除非是歐盤直接跌穿亞盤低點，甚至跌穿1340，否則多頭還是要略微占優。
操作建議： 1300-1320長線多單繼續耐心持有，今年目標依舊是1400上方，加息已過，繼續輕倉持有即可（本月有望到達）。短線今天建議關註大區間1340-1350，若歐盤走強，可關註上方1358壹線。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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