熊傲君：特朗普變臉如變天，多頭再度“急剎車”
2018.04.13黃金策略
昨日回顧：昨日金價出現大逆轉，此前大幅爆發，由於避險情緒壹度拉高至1365壹線附近，不過隨後收線回至1345壹線，而昨日，金價空頭卻出現大逆襲，重新大跌回前期的上漲處，並壹舉跌破1340支撐，行情猶如過山車走勢，這種狀況大度是出自於避險情緒的消退，快進快去，所以金價回撤速度極為驚人，昨日最低下探至1333附近後，早間出現小幅反彈，目前在1340壹線附近，周五走勢若能重現多頭，下周依舊是良機。
消息面：昨日公布的數據作用依舊有限，初請雖然利多，但數據依舊靚麗，只是小幅不及預期，金價反應也是不大，相反後市繼續回落，關鍵在於是避險的減退。特朗普清晨發文，“從來沒有說過什麽時候會發生對敘利亞的襲擊。可能很快，也可能不會這麽快！”貿易立場也似乎出現大反轉，特朗普表示考慮重新加入TPP，美敘緊張局勢出現緩和，市場避險情緒盡散，金價出現迅速的高位回來。
今日展望：由於多空反復交戰，昨日大跌回來後，技術面再次形成糾結之勢，現階段大方向依舊尚未站穩，還需持續等待才有客觀的方向。不過觀點依舊，未破壞依據之前宜應堅持計劃，只能說避險帶來的漲幅依舊不穩定，來的快去得也快，所以還是希望未來在趨勢上能夠更加明朗化。短線上，周三漲，周四跌，那麽周五震蕩則更為合理了，早間小幅反彈至1340壹線後依舊受壓，所以目前可能還是低位修正階段，宜等待歐盤的強弱定奪，壹旦歐盤能夠破位亞盤高點，那麽多單會再次介入，上看1347-1350壹線，反之若歐盤再破昨日低點，那麽後市恐防測試1325-1330區域。
從現貨黃金4小時圖看：金價再現過山車，多空壹日遊，此情此景毫無技術依托，暗示未來走勢仍是偏震蕩，至少要等待真正的趨勢站穩，現階段均線組表現較為糾結，這是由於行情反復太大所致，指標上形成背離走勢，恐怕也會導致行情繼續震蕩偏弱壹線，所以短期還是建議先關註歐盤強弱，日內節奏做美盤，另外周五收官階段也需要註意幅度的呈現。
操作建議： 1300-1320長線多單繼續耐心持有，今年目標依舊是1400上方，加息已過，繼續輕倉持有即可（本月有望到達）。短線今天建議關註大區間1325-1345，若歐盤無強弱可關註1332-1342區間。
熊傲君簡介：
從事交易多年，收益增長穩定，有豐富的實戰經驗和獨特的市場見解。 擅長各種杠桿交易品種分析，尤其對現貨貴金屬市場有較深研究。熟知莊家博弈和市場心理，獨 創“LP（law and psychology）”交易方法。對時間節奏的把控和局部高低點捕捉極準，屢創“ 神單”。交易手法以穩健著稱，被粉絲譽為“穩定帝”，“布局之王”。
交易格言：交易黃金如同遊擊戰，“敵不動，我不動，敵若動，我先動”。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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