熊傲君：美元有所回升，金價震盪下行
2018.03.16黃金策略
昨日回顧：昨日金價依舊圍繞震盪為主，不過歐美盤有小幅下滑的走向，歐盤走弱突破亞盤低點後，美盤開盤即走弱，並隨著兩個利空資料的公佈後，金價再次跌穿1320一線支撐，隨後行情並沒有過大延伸，保持在1315-1320區間震盪，不過今日早盤出現小幅下滑，延續美盤跌勢，這是較弱表現，一旦歐盤繼續走低，恐防加息前金價仍會進一步下跌預熱。
消息面：昨日資料不算太多，主要是美國的進口物價指數以及初請失業金人數的公佈，資料顯示皆符合預期，都是偏利空的消息，不過金價在短期小幅下行後就沒有過大波動，在美聯儲利率決議展開之前，市場保持較為平淡的反應，各項產品波動皆陷入震盪走勢。晚間仍將公佈美國的工業產出月率以及密歇根大學消費者信心指數。
今日展望：走勢仍舊平淡，不過昨日確認了下破1320後，震盪區間又再次下移，目前走勢仍然是震盪偏弱，再加上利空尚未出金，加息之前的金價預料仍是較弱，甚至可能還會有一波下行，現階段建議先關注區間操作，重點看1310-1320區間，早盤最低跌至1314稍下位置，若歐盤跌破此處，金價晚間將進一步回檔至1308-1310一線附近，反之，若歐盤漲破回1320上方，那麼震盪將維持，屆時區間關注1315-1325。
從現貨黃金4小時圖看：震盪依舊，方向仍不明朗，不過短期承壓明顯，可能空方仍是相對占優，現階段短期均線組有所下壓，MACD指標運行至0軸一線下方，意味著短期偏弱，總體震盪，長線在等待突破，所以操作上建議先關注1310-1320區間高拋低吸，昨天破位1320，所以帶來一些下滑，所以我們可繼續謹慎等待破位區間再作跟進。
操作建議： 1300-1320長線多單堅定持有，今年目標依舊是1400上方，加息前若有回檔依舊可以進場。短線關注1310-1320區間，歐盤強弱做日內節奏，或破位進行順勢跟進。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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