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黃金多頭繼續發力,觸及七年半高位

關鍵字:黃金多頭繼續發力

4月14日,金價出現巨大漲幅,上漲近2%,刷新近七年半以來的最高位,由於疫情對全球經濟的重創,並引發各國央行出臺大規模經濟刺激計畫,市場紛紛將資金轉入黃金等避險市場。

期貨和現貨價格之間的價差仍然很大,現貨黃金相比COMEX 6月黃金期貨折價超過30美元,由於實物黃金市場受到的干擾,最近幾周以來一直呈現這種折價狀態,這表明市場內流動性稀少,加劇了價格錯位。

有大量避險買盤,目前存在對經濟衰退/蕭條的擔憂,經濟前景看起來相當嚴峻。美聯儲上周剛剛挹注2萬億美元,世界各地的其他央行也在做同樣的事情;利率處於或接近於零,市場擔憂不斷,這為黃金升穿每盎司2000美元創造了一個完美的環境。

國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)週二表示,由於冠狀病毒疫情導致經濟活動停擺,預計2020年全球經濟將萎縮3.0%,這將是1930年代大蕭條以來最嚴重的經濟滑坡。目前全球累計確診病例數已近200萬例,這迫使各國實施停擺措施,並促使央行出臺支持舉措。

美國盡責聯邦預算委員會(CRFB)週一表示,新冠疫情導致美國經濟急劇下滑和政府大規模救助支出,這將使美國2020財年赤字達到原先預估的接近四倍,觸及創紀錄高位3.8萬億美元,相當於美國國內生產總值(GDP)的18.7%。

在金價上漲的同時,全球股市也出現上漲,此前中國公佈的貿易資料好於預期,且一些國家試圖通過部分取消旨在遏制疫情的限制來重啟經濟。


本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬

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