黃金多頭積蓄力量，美元持續承壓
關鍵字：黃金多頭積蓄力量
3月3日，現貨黃金出現反彈，市場預測可能開啟新一輪的多頭，目前市場認為美聯儲將引領全球應對全球公共安全衛生事件，但是美聯儲也在質疑其他央行實施的寬鬆政策是否能有效應對此次事件。
美國衛生官員週一表示，西雅圖地區已有六人死於新型冠狀病毒引發的疾病。截至3月1日，美國確診感染病例增至91例。與此同時，美國各地政府正為出現更多確診病例做準備，重點是提高檢測能力。
根據CME“聯儲觀察”工具顯示，利率期貨市場預計，美聯儲將從本月開始實施大規模的刺激措施——降息50個基點的可能性為100%，且在今年年底前累計降息100個基點，以保護全球最大經濟體免受全球公共衛生事件蔓延的影響。
三名熟悉相關討論內容的消息人士表示，歐洲央行正在研擬舉措，為受到全球公共衛生事件衝擊的企業提供流動性。
消息人士補充說，由於準備工作需要時間，因此不會馬上就該計畫做出決定。歐洲央行行長拉加德週一晚間表示，已準備好採取“適當而有針對性的”措施。
對日本而言，此次疫情爆發的時機非常棘手，提升了經濟連續第二個季度陷入萎縮的風險。而此時日本正在為迎接7-8月的夏季奧運會作準備。
由於歐洲央行和日本央行已長期實施負利率政策，而美聯儲的聯邦基金利率目標區間在1.5-1.75%，因此美聯儲擁有較其他央行更大的操作空間。
新冠病毒在美國境內存在大規模傳播的可能，日元在經歷2月中旬短暫大跌後重新獲得避險買盤青睞，這令美元面臨的賣壓進一步加重。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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