聚焦本周非農數據
關鍵字：非農數據
北京時間3月8號21:30，將公佈美國非農就業人口變動情況以及失業率，同時各大分析機構都對此次數據的前瞻，同時上個月非農的預期不樂觀，影響了本月的非農數據預期，市場對此都持有不同的態度。
相對於1月非農就業人口大增30.4萬而言，各投行對於美國2月非農就業人口增幅的預期不太樂觀，具體來看，美國2月季調後非農就業人口增幅料介於14.1萬-21.5萬，失業率料介於3.7%-3.9%，平均時薪年率增幅料介於3.2%-3.5%。
美國就業崗位繼續增加，同時通脹保持在非常低的水準。1月非農就業崗位新增30.4萬個，遠高於預期的增加16.5萬個。
但其中存在問題：1月平均時薪僅較前月增加0.1%，創2017年10月以來最低增幅。這一點很重要，因為平均時薪作為衡量通脹的關鍵指標備受關注。
美聯儲1月政策聲明指出通脹壓力溫和。近來美聯儲官員更表示，儘管接近達成充分就業和2%通脹的目標，但薪資增長並未顯示轉化為物價上升的跡象。
2月非農報告仍需重點關注薪資數據，若薪資數據繼續放緩增長，並引發美聯儲對通脹降溫的憂慮升溫，那麼美聯儲年內加息預期恐再度降溫，或導致限制美元上行空間。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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