鮑威爾首秀傑克遜霍爾！美元、黃金將迎來大行情
關鍵字：黃金大行情
8月24日，美聯儲主席鮑威爾將在傑克遜霍爾央行年會上發表講話。目前預計鮑威爾將保持鷹派立場，則美元有望進一步擴大漲勢，而金價面臨繼續下跌的風險。鮑威爾演講將為本周金融市場上的重頭大戲，美元、黃金是否將迎來大行情？
鮑威爾首秀傑克遜霍爾
美聯儲主席鮑威爾將於北京時間8月24日22:00在堪薩斯城聯儲舉行的傑克遜霍爾年會上發表講話。鮑威爾演講的主題是“經濟變革中的貨幣政策”，屆時可能發佈他的最新展望。
傑克遜霍爾全球央行年會素有政策拐點“晴雨錶”之稱。召開期間金銀等市場一般會有明顯行情波動，同時美聯儲主席在內的各位央行高官都將發表重要演說。面對特朗普近日“炮轟”美聯儲政策及外部環境的動盪，鮑威爾的講話備受關注。此外土耳其貨幣危機令新興市場震盪，美國經濟雖然在穩步增長，但也面臨著薪資增長緩慢等難題。在此背景下，此次會議成為投資者們尋找線索的好機會。
鮑威爾將發表鷹派言論？
今年的傑克遜霍爾年會將是鮑威爾作為美聯儲主席的首秀，其講話立場的鷹派可能性大於鴿派。鷹派傾向有讓短期國債收益率小幅走高的空間，對美元來說，這將是一個適度的短期利好。如果鮑威爾採用耶倫式的“鴿派”做法，那麼新興市場資產可能會得到喘息。受美聯儲官員鷹派言論推動，美元週四表現強勁。
黃金能否“躲過一切”？
因美聯儲加息預期推動美元反彈，現貨黃金週四下跌，美市盤中最低下探至1183.28美元/盎司，金價跌破1190美元/盎司一線後加大跌幅，日內跌去逾10美元。
此外，黃金期貨五個交易日以來首次下跌。紐約商品交易所12月交割黃金期貨收盤下跌0.8%，報1,194美元/盎司。
假如鮑威爾發表較為鷹派的言論，可能給美元提供進一步反彈的動力，而金價恐承壓下滑，金價可能即將觸底。如果金價跌破1,180美元/盎司，投資者應該退出並尋找一個新的入場點。一切有待今夜揭曉！
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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