美元繼續回落過程 原油反彈短期樂觀
現貨黃金截止至2019年1月8日3：00收盤于1290.9美元/盎司，昨日現貨黃金亞盤開盤小幅回踩後向上發力，經過歐盤一輪窄幅震盪後，美盤有進一步反彈跡象，但在觸及1295美元/盎司一線後承壓並快速回落，目前金價交投于1289美元/盎司一線。
盛寶銀行預測鮑威爾將被解雇：美國經濟和美國股市在2019年第一季度斷崖式下滑，到2019年夏天，美股將陷入嚴重恐慌，美國收益率曲線將徹底倒掛，這將證明美聯儲在2018年12月的加息決定是錯誤的。由此，特朗普將鮑威爾免職，改任命更加鴿派的明尼阿波利斯聯儲主席卡什卡裡接管美聯儲。卡什卡裡一直是美國收緊貨幣政策的批評者，在卡什卡裡的政策幫助下，特朗普又能發行5萬億美元的信貸額度購買財長姆努欽的零息永久債券，以此推行他宏大的基建計畫，繼續拉動美國經濟，並在2020年選舉中順利連任。屆時，美國通脹率將飆到6%，但報導出來的只有3%，而美聯儲政策利率將卡在1%動彈不得，只會存錢的人將會遭受巨大損失。
原油久旱逢甘霖終迎反彈：週一歐洲時段，美元指數呈現震盪下行走勢，雖然上周非農報告表現強勁，但美聯儲主席鮑威爾此後發表的鴿派講話，仍打壓了多頭信心。油價則延續了近期的反彈走勢，鑒於OPEC本月啟動減產協議，油市短期內樂觀情緒有所上升。
（為了大家有更好的體驗，演播室正在進行設備升級，短期內暫以文字新聞為主，恢復時間待定，敬請留意）
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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