美聯儲加息進入中後期 黃金白銀高位調
現貨黃金市場2018年11月22日14點整收盤于1217.7美元/盎司，日內高點1227.6美元/盎司，低點為1224.7美元/盎司附近；現貨白銀震盪，報14.5美元/盎司。
美聯儲暫緩緊縮預期升溫：據美聯儲資深人士的言論，美聯儲開始考慮暫停逐步緊縮貨幣政策的想法，並可能最早在明年春季結束加息週期。此前，達拉斯聯儲行長卡普蘭、美聯儲副主席克拉裡達都提到，美聯儲應該保持耐心，因為利率接近其估計的中性水準。偏鷹派官員，紐約聯儲主席威廉姆斯講話也耐人尋味，他稱美聯儲不預設貨幣政策路徑。9月加息點陣圖預期中值顯示2019年有三次加息，2020還有一次，不過市場預期明年只有兩次加息的概率升溫，而何時終止貨幣正常化路徑也可能在明年年中被討論。
歐銀10月紀要來襲：受美國感恩節假期影響，市場交投清淡。美元指數日內震盪微跌，現報96.64，跌幅0.08%。週三晚間美國經濟資料表現不佳，凸顯出市場對經濟擴張持久性的擔憂以及對美聯儲放緩升息的呼籲。歐洲央行將於晚間公佈10月會議紀要，預計市場對歐洲央行10月貨幣政策會議紀要的反應比較冷淡，但是必須重點關注歐洲央行對經濟增長前景的描述。圍繞英國脫歐的情緒仍左右英鎊走勢，據報導，德國總理默克爾加大對英國政府施壓，以促使英國通過此前達成的脫歐協議草案。
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本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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