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黃金重拾多頭 美元承壓下滑

現貨黃金市場2018年7月23日14點收盤於1230.9美元/盎司,金價在早間衝擊重壓1235美元/盎司一線後回撤,目前維持與1230-1233區間窄幅震盪。現貨黃金在短期內可能面臨小幅調整,在調整過後依然有機會繼續上漲。

美聯儲禁言期:美聯儲將在北京時間8月2日公佈利率決議,併發表貨幣政策聲明, 此次無點陣圖發佈,也不會召開新聞發佈會。因此,美聯儲採取加息等具體政策措施的概率也微乎其微,但其決議措辭卻仍備受關注。美聯儲主席鮑威爾稱,政政策使中性利率承受上行壓力。當利率接近中性水準時,在貨幣政策聲明中保留“寬鬆”措辭將不再恰當。

美國受貿易戰拖累:美國經濟在今年春天出現強勢增長,快速增長的經濟意味著更低的失業率,此次為9年前脫離大衰退以來的最快增速之一。親商的特朗普政府試圖通過大幅減稅和放鬆管制,讓美國經濟更快發展,但在貿易爭端不斷醞釀的情況下,這也帶來許多焦慮情緒。關稅戰的威脅正導致企業推遲一些未來的支出計畫,直到他們對稅收政策的結果有更好的瞭解。


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