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貿易戰協同半島局勢 助美元匯率維持強

國際現貨黃金截止至2018年6月25日14:00報1265.2美元/盎司,最高價為1272.5美元/盎司,早間金價保持弱勢下行。現貨白銀報16.29美元/盎司,白銀同樣弱勢但下方空間有限。

貿易戰再次牽動黃金市場:中美之間的貿易緊張局勢絲毫沒有任何緩和的跡象,甚至變本加厲;歐盟方面同樣如此。目前歐盟與中國只是初步性報復措施。歐盟方表示,歐盟並不想徵收報復性關稅,但美國向歐盟鋼鋁產品加征關稅,令歐盟沒有其他選擇;我們中國也是一樣,我們不想打貿易戰,但也不怕打貿易戰。市場分析認為,本次中美貿易摩擦一旦表現出長期化趨勢,一定會對兩國經貿關係帶來一定影響,從而也會對美元產生一定牽動。

朝鮮半島局勢或成深水炸彈:北京時間上周五晚間,美國總統特朗普簽署行政令,把2008年延續至今的“涉及朝鮮威脅的國家緊急狀態”延長一年,並保持對朝鮮的經濟制裁。聲明中說:朝鮮政府追求核和導彈專案的計畫將破壞穩定,具有挑釁性,將對美國構成一種非同尋常的威脅。這對於奉承“美國安全第一”的特朗普來說是難以忍受的,故延長經濟制裁時間。朝鮮半島的問題因為涉及到核武器的安全問題是有可能引起戰爭的,並不是簡單的經濟影響,或由戰爭因素帶來避險情緒的升溫。


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