美元或將重拾強勢 現貨黃金低位震盪
截止至今日北京時間14:00，國際現貨黃金價格為1282.5美元/盎司，日內沖高至1284美元/盎司附近，最低下探至1278美元/盎司附近；現貨白銀震盪，報16.45美元/盎司。
利率走向奠定美元強勢地位：上周以來美元強勢回升，令金價大幅回撤。雖然短期內金價出現企穩跡象，但窄幅波動下，仍表明多頭信心尚待修復。對於美元重拾強勢，有關美聯儲與歐洲央行等主要央行之間的利率政策預期差異是支撐美元走強的主要因素。此前，美指曾上攻至95關口後回落，部分原因在於歐洲央行將推出量化寬鬆政策，且將早於市場預期加息這一猜測引發歐元反彈所致。不過，從上周歐洲央行傳達的信號來看，雖然歐銀計畫於年底推出寬鬆政策，但在加息時間這一問題上仍顯搖擺不定，導致此前有關歐銀轉鷹的預期破滅，並推動美元重拾升勢。
警惕美油未來下行風險：儘管昨日歐佩克增產石油可能大幅不及預期的傳聞主宰了油市，但中美貿易關係的繼續惡化致使原油需求不確定性加強，美油在今早也呈震盪下行的走勢。據最新消息稱，特朗普正在考慮追加對中國2000億元的進口商品徵稅10%，以報復中國官方此前對美國農產品、能源類產品建設貿易壁壘的行為。而中國商務部也隨後公佈對美日進口的氫碘酸產品反傾銷調查的初步裁定，預計未來雙方還有多次交鋒。兩大經濟體的貿易糾紛似乎愈演愈烈，由於中國是美國最大石油進口商之一，兩國互征關稅必定會會減少美原油的出口，美國很難在短期內找尋能夠替代中國需求體量的國家。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.