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美伊危機一觸即發 引燃市場避險情緒

現貨黃金市場2018年5月9日4點整收盤於每盎司1314.3美元,較前一交易日收盤價相比,微漲0.1美元,現貨白銀收盤持平,報16.47美元/盎司。

伊朗局勢前景撲朔迷離:據美國總統特朗普宣佈,將重啟對伊制裁。特朗普表示,如果允許伊朗核協議存在,很快將在中東出現核武競賽,在逐步衰退的伊核協議之下,無法阻止伊朗無核化。對此,伊朗總統魯哈尼回應稱,在歐盟成員國進行談判後,伊朗準備重啟核活動。若有需要,伊朗將在三周後準備鈾濃縮。從兩邊領導人發表的講話內容來看,雙方似乎都沒有退讓的意思。而這可能為日後中東局勢愈發動盪埋下伏筆。據多數市場觀察人士認為,特朗普宣佈退出伊朗核協議為大概率事件,但他似乎沒有為與伊朗進行談判留有餘地,整體講話措辭比預期來的更加強硬。

鮑威爾鷹姿助漲美元衝破93大關:昨日鮑威爾表示,儘管美聯儲自2015年12月以來已經6次上調基準利率,但美國金融市場狀況已變得更加寬鬆。鑒於美國經濟的規模,美聯儲政策對其他經濟體的溢出影響是可以預期的。美聯儲加息對全球金融市場及新興市場經濟體構成的風險,或許沒有像許多人想像的那麼大,但美聯儲在執行事先已經充分告知的逐步升息過程之際,仍會同時關注全球冒險意願變化。因預期美國通脹加速和財政赤字擴大可能迫使美聯儲以更快速度收緊政策,投資者削減高收益資產持倉,新興市場貨幣近幾周受創。分析人士指出,美國經濟增長並未出現明顯放緩態勢,使得全球資金回流美國的趨向愈發明顯。美元無疑將因此受益,預計美元未來仍有進一步升值空間。


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