美元仍存走強風險 黃金白銀或再度承壓
截止至今日北京時間14:00,國際現貨黃金價格為1314.7美元/盎司,日內沖高至1318.7美元/盎司附近,最低下探至1313.3美元/盎司附近;現貨白銀震盪反彈,報16.51美元/盎司。
油價創逾三年新高:隨著美國決定是否退出伊朗核協議日期臨近,美油創出了逾三年的高點。儘管美鑽井數持續增加,美油產量續增,同時對沖基金降低了對於油價上漲的預期,以及沙特和伊朗之間分歧加劇或導致部分成員國退出減產協議,但是伊朗核協議主導的市場情緒仍推動油價的不斷上漲。
英鎊或面臨挑戰:目前市場普遍預期英國央行將按兵不動,但仍有投行認為其可能降息。5月5日,瑞穗銀行對沖基金銷售主管瓊斯警告稱,英國央行下一步行動可能不會市場所預期的加息,而是降息,英鎊將大幅下挫。在距離英國央行5月貨幣政策會議只有幾天的時間情況下,該行的預測實為膽大,基於當前脫歐談判的狀態,英國央行可能會在2019年3月份之前按兵不動,今年應該不會加息,大量的不確定性將打壓消費者和企業信心,英鎊將大幅下跌。瓊斯還表示,若2019年3月之後英國和歐盟沒有達成協議,導致硬脫歐,英鎊將進一步下跌。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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