歐元多頭前途黯淡 黃金回落1320生死線
現貨黃金市場2018年4月26日4點整收盤於每盎司1322.7美元,較前一交易日收盤價相比,大幅回落8.7美元,現貨白銀收盤跌0.06,報16.55美元/盎司。
歐元區經濟陷入停滯:歐元區的經濟增長似乎已經陷入停滯,不少分析認為歐元可能已經達到巔峰。歐洲央行行長德拉基不會在此次利率決議上改變其現有的貨幣政策,其貨幣政策立場也不會有明顯的改變。在過去四周內,歐洲央行的企業債購買計畫步伐已經顯著放緩。此次聲明的基調可能會更為謹慎,風險平衡並不會如3月份那樣樂觀。此前公佈的歐元區經濟活動數據減弱,地緣政治風險仍在上升,而3月份的通脹數據並沒有帶來積極的驚喜。這些因素將會繼續支持大多數理事會成員的觀點,促使歐洲央行採取一個更為漸進的步伐來實現貨幣政策正常化。歐元區的資產購買計畫料將逐漸削減,並在12月結束,歐洲央行在2019年的前半年時間中可能不會有新措施。這對歐元多頭來說可能不是一個好消息。
OPEC減產協議3月合規度創新高:3月份OPEC產油國和其他產油國自願產量調整的合規程度達到了減產協議簽署以來的最高水準。上周五(4月20日)OPEC和非OPEC聯合部長級監督委員會在沙特吉達舉行了第八次會議。會議報告顯示,3月份減產協議的合規度達到了149%,這是迄今為止的最高水準。鑒於減產協議對於全球油市深遠的影響,聯合部長級監督委員會決定進一步加強合作。而下一次聯合部長級監督委員會會議將在6月21日於奧地利維也納的OPEC秘書處舉行。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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