美聯儲加息臨近 黃金白銀繼續回落
現貨黃金市場2018年3月17日3點整收盤於每盎司1312.9美元，較前一交易日收盤價相比，下跌3.5美元，現貨白銀收盤跌0.1，報16.28美元/盎司。
美聯儲決議臨近施壓金價：週五(3月16日)金價下跌，並創下三周來最大單周跌幅，主要受到美元走強以及美聯儲將於下周首次加息的預期打壓。但由於美國政局動盪以及潛在貿易戰風險引發了市場的避險需求，限制了金價的下跌空間。據統計，近年來，金價往往在美聯儲加息前下跌，而在美聯儲加息後反彈。對此，CPM集團的管理合夥人Jeffrey Christian認為，這一現象表明，美國目前的利率水準對金價還不構成明顯的負面影響。
歐洲央行首次加息料於2019年中進行：月初公佈的歐洲央行3月利率決議在市場上引發了略偏鷹派的反應，不過行長德拉基的基調則謹慎偏鴿。不過當前市場對歐洲央行利率預期的計價存在偏差，即使歐洲央行管委會在四季度不擴大資產購買，但其也不會提前加息，仍存在延遲加息可能。歐洲央行3月利率決議進一步強化了當前市場計價，即其將於2019年年中首次加息。當前市場對歐銀的預期為，將進一步縮減量化寬鬆(QE)購買規模，並於明年年中加息，對管委會而言可能是可接受的中間地帶。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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