现货白银如何判断触顶和触底
关键字:现货白银如何判断触顶和触底
一般情况下,一轮持续上涨或下跌行情都会有明显的技术指标配合。比如现货白银价格在持续上涨的过程中,日线图中,银价会沿着5日均线缓步上涨(日收盘价均能收在5日均线之上)。1小时图中,MACD指标会一直在零轴上方运行;并且银价不会轻易跌破MA60。此时入场交易应当采取的策略就是:逢低买入。买入所参考的入场时机应当以日线图中5日均线、1小时图中的MA60作为入场点。
但需要警惕的是,银价可能面临大幅回调的压力;一旦银价触顶回调,可能会带来较大的风险。如何判断银价是否已经触顶?此时应当重点关注1小时图中MACD指标。具体的信号是:
1、MACD在零轴上方已经交叉几次了,一般情况下,一轮持续上涨行情中,MACD指标都会在零轴上方交叉不少于5次。如果已经达到5次以上的话,在买入时则须高度警惕。
2、一轮持续上涨行情结束的标志就是:1小时图中MACD指标已经在零轴上方交叉5次以上,并且最后一次或两次出现了明显的顶背离信号。而4小时或8小时图中也有顶背离的迹象的话,此时千万不可再做买单。当然是否可以做空单还需观察MA60的支撑。
3、技术指标背离后,银价都会出现明显的回调,参考的回调目标位大概在MA60。如果银价跌破MA60,并且MACD指标下破零轴,一般都会出现更大幅度的回落。此时入场交易可以采取逢高卖出的策略,具体的入场位应当以MA60作为参考。因为MA60此前是银价的支撑位,在跌破后,一般会成为阻力位。此时需要注意,做卖单的必要条件是MACD不能再度上破零轴。如果上破零轴,计划应当取消。
触顶:一般情况下,一轮持续上涨或下跌行情都会有明显的技术指标配合。比如银价在持续上涨的过程中,日线图中,银价会沿着5日均线缓步上涨(日收盘价均能收在5日均线之上)。此时入场交易应当采取的策略就是:逢低买入。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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