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现货白银实际行情为何与基本面背离?

关键字:现货白银实际行情为何与基本面背离

现货白银实际行情为何与基本面背离?

很多炒黄金白银投资者最为苦恼的事情之一是,明明自身关注的消息面在此前的确是对行情产生单边变动的影响,但结果是,根据同一消息面指导今后的交易计划,却导致操盘失败,因实际行情波动与基本面的此前指向是相反的,意味着这个消息面并非都能对市场走势构成有效指引,为何会出现这种情况,令个人无法在合理预测行情波动情况下获利?下面大田环球小编尝试为您剖析。

基本面导向早已被市场消化

当这个消息面对市场的影响,已经被市场提早预期时,行情反而会在消息面正式落地之前有所反应,例如从去年开始到年末,市场一直推测美联储的首次加息日程,在加息靴子落地前,现货白银价格阶段性下行,更在去年12月中旬与国际金价一样,创下5年多以来的最大跌幅,随着加息宣布,银价不跌反升。

关键位置技术性回归

当消息面促使行情波动时,若此前银价走势位于某个区间之中,且前期重要高点(压力)和低点(支撑)力度较强,即使消息面引发银价尝试破位,但如果形态失效,银价反而在消息面公布后,很快又回归此前走势。例如当月非农好于预期,银价下跌,但到达下方某个支撑位后启动反弹,因此顺势做空要及时确定止盈

突发消息主导市场

虽然我们前期关注的消息面是能够指引银价行情,但在同时出现一则更重要的消息面,在毫无预料状况下出炉的话,银价实际走势也是与原来的消息面指向是背离的,例如日内公布的多项美国经济数据好于预期,本应打压银价,但夜间突然公布乌俄战事升级,欧债危机导致银行破产等突发消息刺激市场避险情绪升温时,银价将大幅上扬。

以上是现货白银实际行情为何与基本面背离的介绍,更多关于现货白银的交易知识请继续留意大田环球贵金属官网的现货白银栏目更新。

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