非农数据和黄金的关系
关键字:非农数据和黄金的关系
非农数据和黄金有什么关系,从上一篇文章中,我们知道非农数据指的就是美国的非农业就业人口数据,它与美国经济发展状况息息相关,而黄金则是以美元计价的,且黄金具有天然的保值功能,这里包含了黄金的商品属性、货币属性和投资属性,下面小编就从黄金则三大属性展开描述,说明非农数据和黄金的关系。
1、黄金作为一种国际性的大宗商品,与其他的国际性贵金属交易品种及原油一样,统一都是以美元计价,因此美元与这些计价的国际现货或期货价格走势,普遍呈负向流动关系,非农数据向好意味着美国经济增速,因此美元兑一篮子主要货币占汇率优势,导致美元指数走强,因此不利于以美元计价的贵金属品种及其他重要国际性大宗商品。
2、若非农数据向好,反映美国经济发展速度快,因此在美元升值的情况下,通胀率也跟随上涨,若通胀率上行过快时,将面临通膨的风险,此时黄金则发挥保值的避险功能,在纸币等相关容易因经济受损而贬值的资产则遭遇市场抛售;若非农数据较差,反映美国经济发展速度放缓,因此在美元贬值的情况下,通胀率也表现低迷,此时美国人都把钱存进银行,此时黄金将遵循商品属性,被持有非美元的人士所买入。然而通膨将引发金价大涨的观点,则就美联储执行的货币政策而忽略不计。
3、非农数据向好,投资者对美国经济的信心提高,促使市场风险情绪升温,致使金融市场中投资者进入股债市场,因此避险资金就会从金市流出,打压金价。而非农数据较差,投资者对美国经济的信心下降,这样则打压市场风险情绪,股债市场行情走软,资金流入金市,提振现货黄金行情。
综上所述,由于黄金具有三种主要的属性,非农数据公布将对美元走势、美国经济解读、投资者信心这三方面构成直接影响,而黄金则因三种能够与之匹配的属性而产生价格变动,所以非农数据是我们关注黄金投资信息时候,一个十分重要的财经数据。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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