欧央行利率对炒黄金有什么影响
关键字:欧央行利率对炒黄金有什么影响
欧洲央行的利率高低,对我们炒黄金有什么影响?今晚迎来了欧央行举行的9月议息决议,届时欧央行将公布本月欧元区的利率值大小,以及对现阶段欧元区使用刺激性措施后的发展情况和措施执行中的难题。现在欧央行维持的基准利率值是0.15%,且采用负存款利率,欧央行下调利率基点的原因,在于解决欧元区主要货币欧元的流动性过少问题,早前因欧元流动性过低,导致欧元币值居高不下,从而导致欧元区陷入低通胀危机,摧毁了欧元区的经济发展,下调利率基点,则提高了欧元的市场流动性,为欧元区经济注入动力。
由于欧元区是全球较为重要的经济体区域,主要货币欧元也是世界性的储备货币之一,也仅次于美元地位的重要货币,欧央行利率的调整方针,对欧元的走势起到至关重要的作用,因为它能主导着欧元在市场的流动量大小。所以欧元和美元走向呈现一定程度的负相关,而美元走势又可以和黄金价格挂钩,那么欧央行利率对炒黄金的影响就不言而喻了,下面我们详细了解一下。
1、欧央行利率高低影响欧元区通胀指数:当欧央行准备提高利率时,通常发生在欧元区出现了明显的通膨危机下,此时黄金价格就因为黄金具有抗通胀的保值功能而受到提振,当欧央行准备下调利率时,通常发生在欧元区出现通缩危机的环境下,以遏制欧元上行,美元被动走强,从而打压黄金投资者的做多情绪。
2、欧央行利率高低影响市场情绪:市场预计欧央行准备提高利率而感到担忧,因为欧央行加息将降低欧元的市场流动性,届时将推动资金从股债市场中流出,从而使市场偏向选择零息资产的黄金。欧央行准备降低利率时,市场将趋势做空欧元,也促进了欧股债市场的资金流入,导致美元走强和提振市场风险情绪,对黄金构成利空。
3、欧央行利率高低影响美元指数:当欧央行提高利率,那么欧元将处于高息的汇市交易环境下,投资者做多意愿大于做空,导致欧元不断获得上涨动能,美元则被动下降,打压美元指数走软,一定程度上提前了美联储的加息时点,黄金作为零息资产则被抛售。而欧央行下调利率,欧元则处于低息的汇市交易环境下,投资者做空意愿大于做多,导致欧元走势疲软,美元则被动上涨从而推高美元指数,一定程度促使美联储维持较低利率,避免美元不断升值,以美元计价的黄金则获得支持。
以上为欧央行利率对炒黄金的影响和作用,我们可以根据欧央行作出的利率调整,对炒黄金选择正确的交易方向,及时对现货黄金交易作出反应。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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