欧元区GDP数据对金价有什么影响
关键词:欧元区GDP数据对金价有什么影响
美国GDP数据由于能影响到美元走势以及美联储的货币政策,因而金价往往会在公布美国GDP数据时波动较大。那么其他国家的GDP数据是否也会对金价产生影响呢?下面,大田小编就来为大家普及一下欧元区GDP对金价的影响。
欧元区GDP向好,助涨欧元,提振黄金
从理论来说,欧元区GDP超过预期,表示欧元区经济增长加快,前景向好,市场对欧洲经济发展充满信心,从而使欧元买盘得到支撑,助涨欧元,那么美元就会因欧元兑美元汇率走高而承压下滑,黄金就会因此得到支撑。
比如说昨日公布的欧元区二季度修正值为1.5%,高于市场市场预期的1.2%,引起欧元与黄金的同涨。
欧元区GDP欠佳,利空欧元,打压黄金
从理论来说,欧元区GDP表现欠佳,即数据持平于前值和预期值或低于预期值和前值时,反映出欧元区的经济复苏程度放缓,这对欧元构成利空,从而通过美元兑欧元汇率提振美元,打压黄金。
比如说2014年12月公布的欧元区第三季GDP年率、月率修正值虽符合预期,但仅持平于第二季,表现有所欠佳,这引起了欧元小幅走低,同时打压金价。
欧元区GDP持续负增长,提振黄金
虽然欧元区GDP下滑时会打压欧元使黄金承压受挫,但若是欧元区持续维持负增长的状态时,黄金一般会受到市场避险需求的提振,从而引起对金价的利好大于利空,促使金价上涨。
总的来说,在欧元区GDP处于增长态势时,欧元与黄金一般表现为同涨同跌;而在GDP处于负增长时,则要关注当时汇市变动或投资情绪是偏向于利好黄金还是利空黄金,才能判断其对金价的具体影响。当然,在数据公布前,大家也可以留意大田环球发布的资讯以掌握最新资料并关注大田环球分析师对行情的把控和操作策略。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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