美联储什么时候会加息
关键词：美联储什么时候会加息
加息！加息！加息！美联储总在说现在美国经济向好发展，就业市场稳健增长，加息的时机将要来临。那么，到底什么时候才加！天天都在说加，结果又都是说条件没有达到，你耍我吗！
一、联储官员需要更多信心
美联储7月的会议纪要显示，美联储加息条件正在接近，美联储官员看到了劳动力市场复苏的更广阔的空间，但他们对于通胀正朝着美联储的目标发展，需要更多的信心。
这是今年以来美国的CPI数据变化，在4月以前，CPI呈现负增长的趋势，5月才开始回暖，说明美国当前的居民的消费倾向并不高，而且截至7月才增长到0.2%，如果按照现在每月增扎根年0.1%-0.2%的幅度，美国要达到2%的通胀目标还要9个月，这都明年了！因此，议员才会说需要更多的信心。
二、中国经济放缓风险
从中国今年的CPI和工业增加值数据来看，中国的经济增速较上年放缓，这或将会通过影响美国的出口，从而引起美国经济增速下降，这使美联储产生一些担忧情绪，而本月人民币意外贬值，更是使美联储的担忧情绪进一步加深，这或将拖延美联储加息的时机。
三、原油价格持续走软
此外，原油价格一直维持走软的态势，如果油价继续下滑，美国的消费以及企业生产可能受到一定程度的影响，从而引起美国的CPI和PPI指数同比下降，而CPI和PPI是影响通胀水平的重要因素，这拖延达成2%目标的时间，从而拖累加息的进程。
总体来看，虽然市场对于美联储9月加息的预期比较乐观，但大田小编觉得如果美国的经济数据没有突出的表现，美联储9月加息的可能依然有点悬。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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