地缘危机消退 现货黄金再度下挫
关键字：现货黄金走势分析
【行情回顾】
周三欧洲盘中，国际现货黄金交投于1294美元附近，黄金日内继续受到20日均线压制，金价延续弱势整理，价格呈现阴跌状。技术上黄金下方关注千三关口附近的牵引力，日内压力位则位于1300关口，由于基本面方面均不利于黄金，所以伦敦金交易价格短期内也难逃震荡下跌的走势。
【基本面分析】
地缘局势方面，乌克兰危机进一步缓解，乌克兰、欧盟和俄罗斯将于8月26日举行高层会谈，通过政治手段解决乌克兰局势的可能性进一步增大，西方和俄罗斯之间紧张的关系也有望得到缓解，市场避险情绪逐步降温，金银震荡回落。
欧盘阶段将公布德国7月PPI月率和英国央行会议纪要。德国经济第二季度意外陷入萎缩，预示欧元区经济复苏前景堪忧，若下午公布的德国PPI数据好于预期，或会提振市场看好欧元区未来经济的信心，否则将进一步打压欧元，从而令金银价格受压。英国央行会议纪要的看点在于是否会出现首张支持加息的投票，由于英国央行和美联储的政策关联度极高，若会议纪要出现有委员投票支持加息，则会让市场对于加息时间有更清晰的了解，从而提升市场对于美联储未来有可能提前加息的预期，将对金银市场造成较大影响。
日内压力位：1300 1307 1310
日内支撑位：1296 1290 1287
【技术分析】
由黄金4小时图走势上看，布林线中轨维持下行姿态，盘中反弹动能不强，未能测试中轨就出现下跌，但是跌幅并不大，下轨仍然是黄金短期的有力支撑。上方最近阻力在1302美元附近，下方重要支持在1290美元附近。Rsi指标仍在50下方争夺，短期内空头略占上方。Macd指标绿柱很短，暗示下行动能不强。总体看黄金的4小时图暗示近中线走势还是跌势格局，但是黄金总体跌势有限，我们大田环球认为若黄金日内跌幅过大，则可以逢低做多，介入位置1293，盈利目标1299.
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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