中国黄金消费大减 现货黄金震荡回调
关键字：现货黄金走势分析
【行情回顾】
周五亚市早盘，现货黄金位于1312附近水平盘整。隔夜离岸市场上，黄金价格频繁出现较大波动。首先因普京表示会尽力解决乌克兰冲突，使市场的避险情绪有所缓解，导致黄金价格出现小幅的下挫，最终小幅收跌，仍然未能突破1317的压力区间。
【基本面】
世界黄金协会最新发布的2014年第二季度《黄金需求趋势报告》显示，二季度，包括金饰、金条、金币在内的中国黄金贵金属消费量为192.5吨，同比暴跌52%。其中，金饰消费量为144吨，同比暴跌45%。
此外，世界黄金协会下调中国今年黄金需求预估至900~1000吨，此前预估为1000~1100吨；下调印度今年黄金需求预估至850~950吨，此前预估为900~1000吨。去年，由于国际金价大幅下跌28%，跌幅创1981年最大，引发中国消费者的黄金买需高涨，并一举超越印度成为全球最大的贵金属消费国。但是由于金价持续下挫，导致中国投资者今年的黄金投资有所减少，这将会对黄金价格构成不利影响。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，国际现货黄金突破1300关口之后，总体上维持震荡上行走势，接连攻克1305和1310等压力位置，但是在避险情绪持续消退的情况下，现货黄金昨日仍然未能顺利攻上1317压力位置，导致黄金最终冲高回落，加上技术指标已经开始出现超买的情况，若黄金日内仍然未能继续上行走势，则很可能会回踩1305支撑位置。
日内支撑位：1310 1305 1300
日内压力位：1315 1317 1322
由于市场的避险需求有所降低，黄金在短期内缺乏后续利好的支撑之下，黄金多次出现冲高回落走势，虽然均线系统完好，但是在技术指标上看已经出现了一定程度的超买迹象，因此建议伦敦金入门的投资者可以适当逢高做空，建议做空位置1314，盈利目标1307.
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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