关注欧央行决议 现货黄金震荡上行
关键字：现货黄金行情分析
【行情回顾】
周四欧洲盘前，现货黄金维持在反弹后的高位震荡整理，总体波动幅度有限。由于日内有英国和欧洲央行的利率决议，市场希望能从中得到欧洲的QE政策信息，这对于黄金近期的走势或许会带来影响，因此投资者日内应该关注其结果。
【基本面分析】
欧洲央行(ECB)将于周四(8月7日)在北京时间19:45公布利率决议，欧洲央行行长德拉基将于20:30召开新闻发布会。市场预期在欧元区CPI数据表现不佳和对俄罗斯实施制裁的背景下，欧洲央行将会采取鸽派的口吻，而这可能打压欧元下行，并令黄金轻微承压。由于欧元区7月CPI年率下跌0.4%,为2009年10月来最低水平，远不及欧洲央行2%的通胀目标。此前欧银官员已经暗示，欧元区通胀低于1%将面临通缩危险。
巴克莱银行表示，欧洲央行此次的会议可能会加速欧元的下行。德拉基可能会重申欧洲央行将会使用额外的宽松措施来放宽货币政策，比如购买资产支持证券,或是提到欧元区通胀改善不佳。这对将会打压欧元走势，同时对黄金也会造成一定程度的不利影响。
【技术分析】
由近期走势上看，金价在200日均线及前期涨势的斐波那契数1280附近获得支持，目前反弹的第一目标位置为1310压力位，而日内的最强压力位则位于前期的1316位置，若黄金能顺利突破1316位置，则有可能再度挑战前期高位1330附近，而在黄金投资的走势上看，建议投资者逢低做多。
日内支撑位：1305 1300 1297
日内压力位：1310 1316 1321
黄金昨日以长阳线报收，走势较为强悍，虽然今日出现高位调整走势，而1311压力位置暂时压制金价。但是MA5和MA10均线转为支撑位，金价有望冲击1311美元的压力。建议投资者逢低做多，若日内回踩1300关口，则果断进场，盈利目标1310.
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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