乌俄战事一触即发 黄金重上千三
关键字：现货黄金走势分析
【行情回顾】
因市场担忧乌克兰军事冲突可能继续升级，市场的避险需求有所上升，资金纷纷流入以现货黄金为首的避险品种当中，国际金价周三大涨近1.50%，并收在1300整数关口上方。现货黄金收涨，现货黄金上涨17.70美元。由于乌克兰和俄罗斯均陈兵边境，若短期内发生战事，则黄金很可能会再度出现一波上涨。
【基本面分析】
稍早，北约官员称，俄罗斯在与乌克兰接壤边境集结了约2万做好战斗准备的军队，可能利用行使人道主义使命等借口入侵乌克兰，这是北约迄今发出的俄罗斯可能很快对乌发动地面攻击的最明确的警告。消息促使投资者买入黄金和美国国债，抛售股票。
另外，俄罗斯总统普京宣布该国对西方制裁作出的最强烈反应，责令政府部门限制进口对俄制裁国家的食品。分析师指出统，欧洲股市的走低，和俄罗斯总统普京咄咄逼人的态度，是令市场忐忑不安的元凶。在市场情绪遭受冲击的背景下，贵金属将再度受到热捧。
【技术分析】
黄金日线图：以长阳线报收，强势回升，今日偏高位调整冲高回落，1311美元暂时压制金价。金价突破均线系统，MA5和MA10均线转为支撑位，金价有望冲击1311美元的压力。MACD指标，零轴下方空方市场，下跌动能减弱，双线低位拐头有望形成金叉，建议日内投资者仍然维持逢低做多的思路
日内支撑位：1305 1300 1297
日内压力位：1310 1316 1321
日内金价强势上破7月下行趋势线(1300美元)阻力，并收复此前一周跌幅，同时日图有望形成一个启明星形态，暗示短期上行动能正开始积累。加上乌克兰和俄罗斯局势日益恶化，建议投资者日内以逢低做多为主，若回踩1300关口，则果断进场，盈利目标1310.
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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