现货黄金冲高回落 关注夜间美国二季度GDP指引
关键字：本日现货黄金行情
7月29日欧洲时段，国际现货黄金价格呈现新一轮的上涨行情，向上突破1308-1310阻力区，同时录得日内最高价1312.1美元/盎司，因受到以巴冲突再起的带来的避险情绪推动，纽盘时段前金价出现获利回吐，纽盘早市后，因美国大城市5月房价指数大致符合预期，且稍后公布的7月咨商会消费者信心指数向好，美元走强导致金价承压，纽盘中段后金价回吐日间涨幅，向下跌穿1300关键支撑位，随后窄幅整理，日收1298.73美元/盎司，较亚市开盘价下跌5.23美元。本日早盘时段金价延续了隔夜盘的整理走势。
本日将迎来美国第二季国内生产总值环比年率初值的公布，早前因一季度的气候恶劣致使美国经济严重低迷，而二季度的增长指标、如就业数据、制造业指数、房产数据均实现了温和增长，而市场对美国经济强劲复苏的预期保持乐观，接受调查的经济学家对二季度GDP年率预测中值高达3.0%，而此预期值是否得到验证将受到市场的密切关注，若本夜出炉的二季度美国GDP不及学者预期，可能降低美联储议息会议纪要中减码规模的额度，目前市场预期本次美联储会议纪要中将声明每月减少100亿美元，美元受市场从乐观转向悲观的情绪打压，从而为黄金白银等贵金属打开上行空间。
从伦敦金技术分析上看，本日亚洲盘面的日线图上金价K线上方受到5日和100日均线的关键压制，下方受60日均线1294的支撑，附图指标MACD绿柱持续放量，KDJ指标从昨日的较强走势转弱。从小时图上看，金价K线在经历隔夜盘的冲高回落以后，目前因5日和10日均线粘合而横盘运行，上方20和60日均线形成死叉，KDJ走势趋强。总体上看，金价上涨动力较弱，上穿1300后可能受前期远日均线支撑变作阻力位的打压，日内关注回调做空的机会，关键支撑位1287,1290,1294，关键阻力位1300,1305,1311。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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