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现货黄金回调 关注日内反弹力度

关键字:本日现货黄金行情

7月25日欧盘中段,国际现货黄金价格早盘时段表现平淡,走势较为疲弱,纽盘开市后,受美国6月耐用品订单月率好于预期的负面影响,金价再次承压,纽盘中段过后,由于国际加大对俄罗斯的制裁,俄方表示不会从容就范,市场避险情绪再度升温,另外以巴冲突没有停火的打算,两大地缘危机因素推动国际金价从低点上涨,金价翌日收盘时段后录得1309.43美元/盎司,日收1307.09美元/盎司,较亚盘开盘价上升17.09美元,然而上周伦敦金价录得连续二周跌幅,因美国经济向好打压所致。

美国6月耐用品订单月率上升0.7%,去除运输的核心耐用品订单月率也强劲上升0.8%,两项数据均好于市场预期,对比5月份受汽车销量下降拖累的耐用品月率有较大幅度的增长,另外作为衡量未来商业投资的关键指标,非国防资本品新订单月率也增长了1.4%,较前值0.7%进一步上升,而数据未能有效提振市场的风险情绪,美国长期国债收益率不升反降,而前一日公布的美国7月MARKIT制造业经理人指数和6月新屋销售也未如预期,本日将迎来美国7月MARKIT综合和服务业采购经理人指数和6月成屋待完成销售指数,若数据出现参差,行内人士将可能下调美国二季度GDP的预期,从而降低市场对美国二季度经济向好的乐观期望,金银价格将面临新一波上升机会。

伦敦金技术分析上看,小时图上,国际金价于本日亚盘早市出现回调,上方受到5日和10日均线的下行打压,而下方的20日和60日均线相交形成金叉,短期内金价有望持续于1300上方,而附图指标MACD快慢线即将形成死叉的粘合状态,红色动能柱放量缩减,KDJ指标冲高回落,意味着多头的上攻力度缩减,若金价日内持续于1300上方,则可以在低点进场做多。本日关键支撑位1294,1300,关键阻力位1306,1310。



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