风险情绪增强 现货黄金失守千三
关键字：本日现货黄金行情
本日亚洲早盘，国际现货黄金价格自昨日的窄幅震荡以后，本日继续承压下行，由于国际上的地缘政治危机事件未能有效激发避险需求，黄金买盘受到空头的抛压，金价向下突破1300，因此推动更多止损卖盘的加入，另外亚盘时段公布的中日经济数据，提振了风险情绪，促使亚股大涨。
国际货币基金组织7月23日下调美国今年经济增长预估，因第一季度经济表现疲弱。他们将美国今年经济增长预估下调至1.7%，低于6月预估的2%。美国第一季度经济萎缩2.9%，降幅为五年来最大，受楼市疲弱、企业补充库存放缓以及出口减少拖累。IMF称，如果通胀保持迟滞，美联储可以维持政策利率在零水准至2015年中以后，而目前美联储决策者的观点似乎集中在2015年中期升息。而近期美国通胀数据的明显增长，主要依赖食品和能源价格的上涨推动，而美联储主席耶伦在6月货币政策会议纪要也指出对现时的通胀水平不存在隐忧，美国经济增长仍存在一定的脆弱性，从长期来看，美联储的加息日程仍遥遥无期，而市场对加息这一观点的前期反应早已体现在金银市场之中。
从伦敦金技术分析中看，日线图上，金价K线向下突破100日均线后，顺利打开下行通道，同时附图指标MACD绿柱放量增加，KDJ在经历回落的伦敦金行情后，继续运行在超卖区位置，反映空头占据盘面优势。从小时图中看，均线系统粘合后发散，且位于K线上方，布林下轨形成初步的弱势阻力，附图指标MACD和KDJ同样发出看空行情，短时来看，金价还将继续承压，日内关键支撑位1280，1290，1294，关键阻力位1298,1305,1310。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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