葡萄牙银行危机趋缓 黄金小幅上扬
关键字:现货黄金走势分析
由于昨日空头大幅抛售现货黄金,导致国际黄金市场出现大幅波动,使黄金接连失守多个关键支撑位,而在经历过大跌之后,黄金的日内走势将会变得较为稳定,再度出现大跌的可能性不大。
对于昨日黄金出现的大跌走势,市场上众说纷纭,除了市场上出现天量抛压之外,另外一个导致黄金出现下跌的原因则是葡萄牙银行问题出现了较大的转机。葡萄牙央行近日要求必利胜银行(BES)加快管理层调整,进一步显示当局不希望该行被创办家族的财务问题牵连。而必利胜银行称有足够资本来处理对家族企业曝险可能导致的资金短缺。在近日该行再度表达有能力维持稳定,葡萄牙债券的收益率在昨晚有所下跌,表示市场的避险情绪有所下滑。
而隔夜欧洲央行行长德拉基发表在出席欧洲议会经济与货币事务委员会的季度听证会上发表了讲话。德拉基的讲话内容对市场来而言无太多新意,黄金和外汇市场反应平淡。德拉吉表示:预计欧元区复苏仍温和,欧元升值对复苏的可持续性构成风险。德拉吉还说,房地产无泡沫,欧元区部分地区市场泡沫较大,只要欧元区复苏加快,利率就将同时再度走高。由于德拉基未有暗示欧版QE的方案,使得市场对此感到失望,而黄金市场也未能从中获益。
技术分析:由日内黄金走势图上看,黄金昨日收出一个拥有较长实体的大阴线,各技术指标均出现调整,而今日黄金在大跌之后出现一根小阳星,是较为明确的止跌信号。而4小时图上,目前行情仍旧属于一波大幅下跌后的震荡调整阶段,KDJ指标低位运行,短线走势进入超卖位置,蜡烛形态显示行情处于调整阶段,还没有出现可以关注空头的形态,建议投资者日内适当逢低做多。
日内支撑位:1305 1300 1296
日内压力位:1310 1316 1320
根据我们对金价走势分析所得,国际现货黄金交投于1308美元附近,经过了昨日空头对多头的偷袭,市场投资者也迷失了方向,不过从周K线来看,多头趋势尚能维持,目前的走势可能是一种对于前期平台以及压力位突破的回抽确认,因此黄金短期内仍有上攻的可能性,加上1300位置拥有周线级别的强劲支撑,黄金短期内若能稳守1310附近,仍有上行机会,建议投资者日内逢低做多,建议进场位置1306,盈利目标1312,止损6美金。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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