中国黄金融资丑闻 或影响金价涨势
关键字:现货黄金走势点评
周五亚盘时段,国际现货黄金维持震荡上扬走势,继续反弹冲击1320美元阻力位置,目前交投于1318美元附近。由于近期美国经济复苏情况并不理想,预计黄金在1320阻力位置下方震荡蓄势之后,将会打开新的上行空间。
中国国家审计署周四(6月26日)对中国工商银行等8家银行和中国投资有限责任公司等3家金融机构的审计结果表明,信贷投放和业务创新等方面还存在一些问题。发现银行有3750亿元人民币贷款投放存在问题,并首次揭露了25家黄金加工企业的虚假贸易,骗贷规模接近千亿元。
鉴于本次金融资事件,法国兴业银行周四在报告中下调了2014年中国黄金需求预估,这也意味着今年中国可能会丧失全球头号黄金消费国的王冠。另外,过去几个月中国的实物金需求都没有任何起色,而这将会对实物黄金需求造成较大的影响,而对于黄金来说则是一个影响较大的利空。
技术分析:从黄金技术面上看,黄金已经连续收出三根带长上下影线的十字星,说明上方阻力和下方压力均相当强大,而均线系统仍旧发散,而4小时的走势图上看看,走势在1306-1325间矩形整理,下方支撑位分别是在1312和1306这里两个关口,而阻力位看1325和1332。按照近期笔者的推荐做法,则是顺势而为,毕竟现在黄金仍然缺乏决定性利好,而1330附近的三个月高位仍然具备较强阻力,而下方1308位置则是周线支撑位,建议投资者在低位顺势做多。
日内支撑位:1315 1308 1300
日内压力位:1320 1326 1330
由黄金今日的走势上看,黄金在早盘1315位置上方持续震荡之后,开始出现往上缓慢突破的迹象,而1320位置将是黄金日内上行的第一个阻力点位。由于黄金本周走势犹如螃蟹,5日均线几乎成直线走平,所以在本日往上突破也不会过于让人意外,因此我们大田贵金属仍然建议顺势而为,若黄金顺利突破1323位置,则可以开仓追多,目标1330,止损6美金。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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