机构看好黄金升势 现货黄金蓄势待发
关键字:现货黄金行情预测
周四欧洲盘前,黄金现货维持宽幅震荡走势,由于昨晚美国公布的GDP数据让人大跌眼镜,因此市场对今天晚上公布的初请失业金数据预期较为保守,而黄金也暂时缺乏指引性利好支持和在1320位置下方持续盘整。
虽然近期黄金走势以震荡整固为主,但是已经有不少著名的国际机构开始公开看好黄金的后市走势。德意志银行周三在报告中称,隔夜金价曾试图上探1329美元的初步阻力目标,但最后还是撤至平盘,同时本周日线基本都收于十字星和小实体。不过,该行认为未来金价仍有动力再次上探该位置,并看好黄金的前景。德意志银行表示,如果金价突破1329美元,则可能进一步涨至1355美元/盎司,更长期甚至能够达到1388美元/盎司。另外,该行指出,即便短期金价出现小幅回撤,也不会改变看涨的观点
此外机构方面,花旗银行也表示,鉴于预测未来美联储利率将维持在较低的水平,美元不断承压受挫,2014年下半年黄金的价格不会太低,基本企稳在1300美元/盎司上方,除了中东地缘政治局势的影响外,印度实物金需求的增加以及美元的走软都能给金价带来显著地支撑。
技术分析:由黄金日内走势上看,早盘黄金继续在1315一线位置震荡整理,最高触及1319位置,而未能上探1320压力位置,而黄金已经有5个交易日在此位置横向震荡,说明黄金上方的阻力对于黄金上行仍然构成较大,日内不排除会再度回探昨日低位1310。
日内支撑位:1315 1306 1300
日内压力位:1321 1325 1331
由周四欧洲盘前的伦敦金行情走势所得,黄金在触及近期低位1310位置后,多次出现反弹,而在触及1320上方的压力位置之后也出现快速回落,说明现在的黄金的走势是上有压力,下有支撑,所以,我们大田贵金属建议投资者在这种状况之下,可以适当进行波段操作,尤其是在黄金回调到1308-1310这段强支撑位的时候,可以介入做多,盈利目标1320,止损4美金。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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