加息预期较强 现货黄金面临下挫
关键字：现货黄金走势分析
周二欧洲盘前，现货黄金再度出现震荡下跌走势，由于金价走势的连续下跌，短期内不排除有做顶的迹象，再加上今晚凌晨美联储将在议息会议结束后，将会发表新闻发布会，而市场普遍预期美联储很可能有加息动作，若果此预期成为现实，黄金将会再度下挫。
目前市场预期此次对维持利率和QE政策投票人数可能变为8:1(此前为9:0)。当天市场最大的关注点，依然将停留在美联储6月利率决议之上。目前，美联储官方已经进入了决议前一周的沟通中断期。但市场围绕美联储政策的猜测却并没有因此消散。市场普遍预计美联储会加息，一旦美联储果真透露加息紧缩的预期，那么美元指数将受助推走强，而美国乃至全球股市，以及黄金白银价格和美国国债价格都将因此应声下跌，但如果美联储的政策措辞意外鸽派且对经济前景的评估相对不乐观，那么美元指数就可能再度承压，并完成当前的头部形态构筑过程。在此之前，市场气氛更多仍将偏好谨慎观望。
技术分析：由国际现货黄金日K线图上看，近期的下跌导致之前的连续上涨局面被终结，不过空头攻势未能得以延续，昨晚在触及1257阻力区域后黄金出现震荡回升，布林依旧处于缩口状态，日内虽一度击穿布林中轨，但跌幅仍未扩大，而30日均线则于1273附近形成短期压力，由于市场预期较差，不排除黄金会在短期内再度出现下跌。
本日支撑位：1264 1260 1257
本日阻力位：1270 1272 1275
在连续3天的下挫当中，伦敦金的涨势已经基本结束，虽然昨天收出的长下影线十字星表示黄金仍然具备一定程度的反弹力度，但是短期内仍难以修复近期的跌幅，加上市场预期美联储加息的可能性较大，基本面方面不利于黄金。建议炒黄金投资者适当做空，做空位置可以选择在压力较强的1274位置，激进者则可以在1271布局空单，设定止损6美金
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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