关注欧美重磅决议 黄金屏息以待
关键字：现货黄金走势
欧洲盘整，国际现货黄金价格略有下跌，日内支撑位1245位置失守，黄金正向1240支撑位置寻求支撑。由于投资者对今晚欧洲央行决议抱有较大期望，而市场普遍认为欧洲央行今晚将会降息，而降息将会导致欧元走弱，间接导致黄金走弱。
ADP周三公布的数据显示，素有小非农之称的4月ADP就业人数增加17.9万人，为近四个月以来的新低，且不及市场预期增加21.0万人。虽然该数据不及预期，但是仍未对市场看好美国经济构成影响，导致金价冲高回落。而今晚的美国初请失业金数据将尤为重要，若此数据优于预期，将会打消昨晚小非农数据带来的不利影响。
欧洲央行定于今晚公布利率决定。而近日公布的一项调查显示，欧洲央行将下调指标利率，并将存款利率降至零之下，从而阻止欧元走强及通胀率继续下滑。市场预期欧洲央行将把指标再融资利率从当前的0.25%下调至0.10%。多数分析师预计，欧洲央行将首次把存款利率降至负0.10%。欧洲央行正在准备于本月会议上提出一套政策选项方案，其中包括调降央行所有利率，以及为刺激向中小企业贷款而设计的针对性措施。然而，值得注意的是隔夜两位欧元区央行官员透露，欧洲央行行长德拉基可能会暗示，本周的降息不会是最后一次。这也意味着欧元汇率可能面临较长期的下行趋势，美元指数将会走强，从而利空黄金。
技术分析：由黄金日内走势上看，伦敦金行情总体仍然以窄幅震荡为主，由于布林带发散迹象有所减缓，预示着黄金短期内的跌幅也有所减轻，而且由技术指标上看，MACD和KDJ均预示着黄金有一定程度的超卖迹象，加上1240下方属于黄金的强支撑位，在此处黄金应该有较大可能出现企稳，我们大田贵金属建议投资者在今晚欧美消息出台之前暂时观望。
操作建议：
做多：开仓1241 止盈1248 止损1234
做空：开仓1249 止盈1232 止损1255
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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