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四连跌后黄金有反弹需求

关键字:现货黄金走势

欧洲盘初,国际现货黄金白银价格盘中受空头回补推动,黄金刷新日内高点1292.09美元,白银回升至19.37美元附近。复活节假期后,贵金属市场走势依旧低迷,就日内看,除了晚间纽约时段将公布美国成屋销售总数之外,再无重要数据公布,在现货黄金日线四连跌后,有技术上的反弹需求。

而乌克兰方面,目前局势仍保持稳定,并没有出现恶化的风险,这使得金价难以获得避险情绪,日内欧美都复市,市场波动性可能会加大,不过市场仍需要新的推动因素才能令方向明朗。而乌克兰局势加剧会增加黄金利好因素。日内瓦初步协议并没有很好的付诸实践,亲俄武装分子并没有向乌克兰政府表现出屈服倾向。美国和欧洲官员强调,如果亲俄分子不从前两个星期占领的东部政府大楼撤退,俄罗斯将会面临新一轮经济制裁。

技术分析:国际现货黄金亚盘维持震荡,市场交投清淡,波幅有限,进入欧盘初现货黄金小幅反弹,预计在晚间美盘前还会维持震荡。我们大田贵金属认为,由于晚间有关美国的成屋销售数据需重点关注,其次今晚美联储前任主席伯南克将发表题为“美联储八年的危机管理以及未来的道路”的演讲,将会影响黄金的走势。黄金下方1285形成短期支撑,仍会维持震荡,突破1291,预计会继续出现一波反弹。



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