欧美政策给力 现货黄金重夺年线
关键字：现货黄金走势
在上周末举行的IMF春季会议上，欧洲央行行长德拉基在进一步宽松以抗击通缩上面临铺天盖地的压力。德拉基表示，若欧元汇率持续走强，欧洲央行将进一步宽松。这是迄今为止，德拉基在欧洲央行准备好实施刺激性债券购买计划上发出迄今最为明确的信号。
当前，欧洲央行虽然维持利率水平没有变化，但是不断强化的通缩信号使欧央行行长德拉吉异常不安，欧元区通胀跌至0.5%。因此，在这个时候传出推行万亿欧元量化宽松计划的传闻则不足为奇了。据媒体报道说，欧央行曾模拟1万亿欧元量化宽松，其目标是将通胀率推高0.8个百分点。报道指出，欧央行为此进行了多次模拟试验。
而另一方面，美国上周的美联储会议纪要显示，美联储决定放弃失业率和通胀率升息门槛，取而代之的是美联储表示将在结束购债相当长一段时间后才会开始升息。记录显示，会上并未讨论“在相当长时间内”保持近零利率的问题。同时，美联储还透露，即使在日后的加息周期启动后，美国经济面临的各种风险因素仍会使利率水平在较长时间内保持在相对低位。
因此，在货币政策的基本面上，欧美两大经济集团在短期内均倾向于宽松，而且基于乌俄两国的地缘政治问题影响，黄金可以说是在触底反弹之后左右逢源，预计短期内现货黄金投资需求较大，金价将会以震荡上扬为走势的主基调。
技术分析：由黄金日K线上看，现货黄金连续5连阳的持续碎步上攻已经彻底把前期自1392的下跌趋势扭转，同时在1278位置反弹以来，黄金已经重新建立新的上升通道。目前均线呈多头排列，由于年线的顺利修复，黄金在短期内的短暂回调幅度也将相当有限。由技术指标上看，MACD在金叉出现之后，红柱量能有持续放大迹象。而KDJ虽然在短期内有略微超卖现象，但总体上看位置良好，我们大田贵金属建议投资者可以在黄金短暂回调过后适当加仓做多。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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