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静待晚间数据 金价低位震荡

关键字:现货黄金走势

今晚纽约时段将公布美国第四季度实际GDP数据、初请数据及成屋签约销售数据,预计将会引爆汇市行情。数据的好坏,也很有可能影响美联储接下来的政策导向。对于晚上的数据,值得注意的是美国第四季度并没有受暴风雪影响,第三季度GDP终值为2.4%,第四季度GDP终值上修为2.7%,若数据符合预期,或者强于预期,美元指数将有望强势上扬,进而打压现货黄金等贵金属价格。

近期黄金和白银这对“难兄难弟”自美联储新任主席耶伦首秀之后就开启了下行之旅,但是美联储貌似还不愿放过对这对难兄难弟的打击,多位美联储成员在公开场合表示支持耶伦的论点,例如费城联储行长、FOMC今年有投票权成员普罗索周三表示,预计今年底失业率将降至接近6%的水平;加息及其时间选择取决于经济状况,目前美国经济处于良好状态,应该会延续这一势头;希望通胀率略微提高一点;估计量化宽松(QE)将在今秋的某个时候结束;世界经济也可能保持继续增长。直到欧洲盘前为止,市场仍然在等待美国公布的经济数据,并试图在其中发掘联储的决策依据。

在本周连续的下跌之后,黄金已经逼近1300点整数关口,早盘市场交投较为清淡。我们大田金业认为,由于今天晚间有重要数据公布,1300点关口的多空胜负很可能在此出现。建议投资者现在暂时短暂观望。建议做空位置1297,止损位置1307,止盈位置1290。做多位置1301,止损位置1295,止盈位置1315.



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