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现货黄金走势盘整 避险情绪降

关键字:现货黄金走势、黄金避险属性

市场广泛预期,美联储将在周三会议上决定将其量化宽松计划的规模进一步缩减100亿美元。从2012年以来美联储买入美债和MBS债券压低利率刺激经济的政策,压低了美元汇率并导致黄金成为有吸引力的对冲资产。美国新屋销售大幅不及预期,这表明美国楼市复苏仍然乏力。美国12月新屋销售总数年化41.4万户,远低于市场预期的45.5万户,与预期之差创2013年7月以来最大。疲软的数据令投资者预期美联储仍然会谨慎的收缩购债计划,市场预计本周四的美联储利率决议将宣布每月再减少100亿美元的资产购买计划,美经济数据虽2013年底至今表现好坏参半,但大部分联储局成员仍对经济复苏持有很大期望,黄金的避险性随全球局势缓和而减弱。

实体黄金方面,中国2013年从香港黄金进口创历史新高,去年金价大跌引发中国实物黄金需求大幅增长。中国内地2013年从香港净进口黄金达1108.8吨,环比涨幅33%,创历史新高。12月内净流入中国的黄金量月率亦升24%。由于中国不公布黄金进口量,香港进口量被认为是重要参考指标。

欧美股市反弹或对晚间现货黄金走势造成打压,在万众期待FOMC会议开始之际,建议投资者按现有行情谨慎入市,或持仓观望。



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