美国经济数据一度开好 黄金再度回吐
关键字：黄金盘整、 FOMC会议
由于昨晚公布的美国零售业指数和初请失业金数据明显高于前值和预期，故市场推测月中的FOMC会议上美联储关于货币政策的决议将倾向于结束购债，金价昨夜随即跌破1250短期支撑位，今早亚市时段在1220美元/盎司整理跌幅。
市场对于美国经济前景的信心大增，美联储对于降低通胀率和失业金数据方面虽有一定成效，但继续购债或将继续对美元造成打压，若在欧元区或新兴国家经济体强劲的情况下，美元的贬值效应会暴露出来，这使得金价显著上升。现阶段由于通胀率暂持较低，故金价的上涨空间面临较大压力。若然FOMC会议果真提出削债打算，对金价的走势影响或将不大，因货币通胀性已维持到行内人士认可的最佳范围内。另外，印度今年对黄金进口进行了非常严格的控制，导致出口高于进口，也进一步打压了黄金的上升势头，而国内黄金溢价严重。
因亚洲投资需求和实物金买盘走强的带动，预计明年第一季度黄金均价将从本年低点1200美元附近回升至1240左右，各国央行的黄金储备购买速度将趋缓。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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