静待非农数据 国际黄金现货建议逢低做空
关键字：国际黄金现货
目前市场似乎更为偏向于认为美联储即将在本月开始削减购债，而亚特兰大联储主席洛克哈特也表示美联储需要公布退出QE计划更详细的时间安排，并称如果非农数据向好，美联储则将面临更大的退出QE压力。目前市场预测11月非农业就业人数变化18.5万人，需要好于该预期的结果以推动美元指数上方突破，但如果该报告不尽如人意，美联储尽快削减购债的可能将减小，而美元指数目前的RSI看跌背离则或将延续。
从技术面分析，金价在构筑短期底部。依据日线观察，目前黄金均线处于空头排列，但从周线及月线级别来看，已经出现严重超卖迹象。因此，金价正在构筑短期底部的概率很高。另外，与今年6月相比，当下的黄金基本面并未明显恶化。再加上成本支撑，因此，短期继续暴跌、创年内新低的可能性不大。昨天初请失业金人数数据开好，令到市场人士有所喘测退市，金价一度下跌至1216附近。随后上升至1227.根据以往非农业数据显示，上一个月大幅开好，紧接一个月应该差过预期，这次非农预期18.5万，上月开20.4万。今日逢有低位做多。
支持位：1212, 1222
阻力位：1236, 1247
建议静待数据才决定。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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