黄金未平仓合约达2个月高点 建议风险控制3美元内
关键字：黄金未平仓合约
昨天金价上涨1%，最高探至1351美元/盎司，是一个多月来金价首次突破1350美元/盎司的水平。在一个个让人失望的美国经济数据后，市场越来越预期美联储将推迟债券购买缩减的决议。周五早市金价1346美元/盎司开，最高升至1347美元/盎司，后在1346美元/盎司上下波动。在金价突破50天均线后，技术性购买的增多推动了金价上升，而美国市场黄金期货的未平仓合约达到两个月来最高，黄金的未平仓合约在增长，这体现了新进入的不光是空头回补，而是黄金买家开始变得稳定，Comex 12月期金在1400美元的认购期权的重头寸也为金价带来了上涨压力。
1400美元的认购期权目前有最大的未平仓合约，差不多190万盎司。这可以表明现货金价还会继续增长，此外，疲软的美元和三个月来最低的美国债券收益率也都在推动金价。另外中国良好的制造数据也是金价的推动力，预计金价会因为美国经济复苏、升高的真实利率还有宽松后货币政策的结束，而在2014年回落至1144美元/盎司。
今天需关注的数据有美国9月耐用品订单、油价、美元指数，预测金价先跌后升区间在1340~1360美元，如上下方破位分别可观望为1370、1330美元，风险控制3美元以内稳赢。
操作建议：
黄金：倾向反弹破败后寻机做空
白银：守住5日均线，短期反弹态势仍维持良好
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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