短期国际金价仍呈弱势 不是做空黄金的好时机
关键字:国际金价、做空黄金
国际现货黄金持续在1318美元,附近横盘整理,之后小幅走高至日内1325美元,并继续在1314 – 1332美元间窄幅震荡。金价今早偏强,承接了上周的强势,金价今早受投资者支持下向好,短线者于1300以上企稳,静待明天美国失业率数据公布,金价由上年下半年开始下跌趋势,跌势踏入今年更见强劲,而技术上的确从图表上看,金价已暂时脱离了最急劲的上涨走势,但如果就此判断为牛市转熊市暂时仍言之过早。
美国经济复苏的情况以及美联储缩减QE的可能性,不过目前美国财政危机仍未得到解决,暗示美联储可能推迟缩减QE时间表,综合来看,现在还不是做空黄金好时机。政府关门两周后,对经济产生了一定影响,预计未来将公布的经济数据不会太好,不足以支持美联储缩减购债规模。
世界政局混乱,美国的财政危机,欧洲暂缓了的债务危机,甚至中国潜在的信贷,房地产的危机,全部都未见有解决的情况,再恐怖的是环球的经济及像圆环般一环扣一环,一但再爆发危机,各国难以独善其身,情况可能比08年金融海啸更差,故此金价位者虽然呈现弱势,但万一环球经济再次进入危难之中,金价仍有很多可能再度急升,所以短期上,金价仍弱,但长线看来,金价有绝对的理由再度上扬。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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